Burn Multiple vs SaaS Magic Number
Burn multiple measures company cash efficiency relative to ARR growth. Magic Number measures revenue growth relative to prior-quarter sales and marketing expense. A company can look efficient on one and weak on the other because the numerators, spending scopes, and timing differ.
Key differences
| Question | Burn Multiple | SaaS Magic Number |
|---|---|---|
| Which spending scope? | Net cash consumed by the business over the period. | Sales and marketing expense in the prior quarter. |
| Which growth measure? | Net increase in ARR during that same period. | Change in recognized quarterly revenue, multiplied by four. |
| Which direction is favorable? | Lower, when both burn and ARR growth are positive. | Higher, within a consistent revenue and expense definition. |
One scenario, two measures
Hypothetical worked scenario
A fictional company burns $450,000 in Q2 and adds $300,000 net new ARR. Quarterly revenue rises from $500,000 to $575,000; Q1 sales and marketing expense was $400,000.
Burn multiple = $450,000 ÷ $300,000 = 1.5×. Magic Number = (($575,000 − $500,000) × 4) ÷ $400,000 = 0.75×.
Doubling non-sales spending can worsen burn multiple without directly changing the Magic Number denominator. A change in annual customer prepayments can also affect cash burn while recognized revenue follows its service schedule.
Which should you use?
- Use burn multiple with runway to investigate the overall cash cost of growth, including delivery costs and overhead.
- Use Magic Number to investigate the relationship between sales spending and subsequent recognized revenue growth. Confirm that the assumed quarter lag is useful for your sales cycle.
- If the two diverge, reconcile the cash flow bridge and expense categories before choosing an operational response. A single efficiency label obscures the reason for the divergence.
Where comparisons can mislead
- Do not use net new ARR as the numerator in this site’s Magic Number formula; that is a related ARR-based sales efficiency measure.
- Neither ratio adjusts automatically for customer concentration or the quality of growth.
Explore the full guides: Burn Multiple and SaaS Magic Number.
Sources and methodology
The references below explain the underlying methods. Our worked scenarios use hypothetical figures; they are not company results or current market benchmarks.
- David Sacks / Craft Ventures: The Burn Multiple
Original 2020 explanation of net burn divided by net new ARR.
- Scale Venture Partners: Magic Number Math
Original quarterly revenue formula, published in 2010.
- Scale Venture Partners: A Primer on SaaS Sales Efficiency
Distinguishes the GAAP revenue Magic Number from ARR-based sales efficiency.
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